PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability28°C 48.1%+35.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$127.6K
Liquidity
$82K
High liquidityBid / Ask
14.2% / 22.0%
Spread
7.8 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 7:05 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
28°C51%
Volume trend
$127.6kJul 263d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.