PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability31°C 39.4%+9.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$33.4K
Liquidity
$37.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 7:04 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
31°C41%
Volume trend
$33.4kJul 262d of dataJul 27
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
$220.3K87° or above: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 27, 2026?
$52.3K83° to 84°: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?
$49.5K89° to 90°: 40%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?
$36.9K12°C: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 28?
$36.5K34°C: 43%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
$35.4K29°C: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.