PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability78-79°F 56.4%+17.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$29.4K
Liquidity
$31.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
56.0% / 58.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 1:05 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78-79°F57%
Compare venues· 78-79°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 57% | — | $29.4K | $31.9K | 10 minutes ago | |
 Gemini86% match · auto | Low | 60% | — | $179 | $0 | 30 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 28, 2026?
19h
57.2%
26.4%
6.3%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$179
24h Vol$179
GEMINIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%POLYMARKETWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 28? — Noanon.1980.12310h ago
POLYMARKETWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 28? — Noanon.1980.12310h agoVolume trend
$29.4kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.