Current implied probability
78°F to 79°F 56.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$179
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 59.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 12:55 PMJul 29, 26, 3:59 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78°F to 79°F58%
Compare venues· 78°F to 79°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall86% match · auto | High | 57% | — | $29.4K | $29.7K | 2 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis page | Low | 58% | — | $179 | $0 | 22 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 28?
14.0 pts2h
+14.0pt57.6%
26.3%
-8.0pt14.1%
+8 more outcomes
80 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$35.3K
24h Vol$29.4K
POLYMARKETRules
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 28, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport, CA on July 28, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Los Angeles International Airport, CA.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to YES if the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport on July 28, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to NO.
- The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for July 28, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%POLYMARKETWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 28? — Noanon.1980.12311h ago
POLYMARKETWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 28? — Noanon.1980.12311h agoVolume trend
$179Jul 272d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Highest temperature in Miami on July 28, 2026?
$15792°F to 93°F: 50.5%GEMINI
GEMINIHighest temperature in Boston on July 28, 2026?
$7681°F to 82°F: 33.5%GEMINI
GEMINIHighest temperature in Chicago on July 28, 2026?
$5179°F to 80°F: 42%GEMINI
GEMINI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6KSpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
$411Manifold shuts down.: 8.2%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)
$247.5Donald Trump: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecryptRules
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 28, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport, CA on July 28, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Los Angeles International Airport, CA.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to YES if the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport on July 28, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to NO.
- The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for July 28, 2026 as documented by the NWS.