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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Grok 4.4 released by...?
Grok 4.4 released by...?

Grok 4.4 released by...?

0.5% (24h)AIOne-Off16d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
July 31
July 31 70%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.1% / 1.3%

Spread

18.2%

Wide spread
7d Change

-16.8%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

May 22, 26, 5:18 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
May 31
May 31
0%

Selected outcome

July 3170%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.

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Active in these topics

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Related News

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.