PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJuly 7 77%+35.0%Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$63.6K
Liquidity
$236.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spread7d Change
+69.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 23, 26, 5:26 AMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
July 777%
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This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
- GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
- (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
- Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
- Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.