PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability0.1 45.3%+7.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 47.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 11:53 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
0.148%
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 253d of dataJul 27
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Active in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
- The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html).
- If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.