PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 220-239
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
220-239 100%+45.8ptLeader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+83.8 pts
Market data
Updated 80 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 4:26 AMJun 12, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
120-1397%
100-1193%
200-21926%
340-3590%
220-239100%
280-2992%
140-1592%
180-1999%
260-2791%
300-3194%
320-3393%
160-1796%
360-3791%
240-2590%
380-3991%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
