PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 180-199
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, 6:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
180-199 100%+67.2ptLeader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$299.9K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-17.4 pts
Market data
Updated 52 days ago
StaleJun 30, 26, 4:04 AMJul 10, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
220-2391%
140-15910%
100-11936%
200-2190%
160-17921%
120-13932%
280-2991%
60-790%
80-995%
260-2790%
180-199100%
240-2592%
100%
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
