PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability120-139 39%+12.5%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$477.1K
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 4:04 AMJul 10, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
120-13939%
Large trades
$1.2k98.8%Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? — NoAg500k7h ago
$2.0k98.8%Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? — Noloser-star3d ago
Volume trend
$477.1kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 3 12:00 PM ET to July 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.