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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?
E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?

E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?

0.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$10.6

Liquidity

$9.7K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.5% / 1.4%

Spread

180.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.8%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 28, 26, 7:49 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if E.

Polymarket
  • Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if E.

Polymarket
  • Jean Carroll is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest