PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability100-119 27%+10.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 21.0%
Spread
61.5%
Wide spread7d Change
+4.0%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 27, 26, 4:00 AMJul 7, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
100-11927%
Also available on Kalshi
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (6/28-7/4)
2.0%1d
-2.0%1%
-3.0%5%
1%
+6 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$182.7K
24h Vol$43.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 30, 12:00 PM ET and July 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 30, 12:00 PM ET and July 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".