Current implied probability
Negative 51%+0.5pt
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 97.0%
Spread
95.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 12:00 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Rules
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Wednesday, September 23, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.
- If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title.
- The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published.
- If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time.
- If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
