PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 1, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
54,000 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$591K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+24.9 pts
Market data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleJul 24, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJul 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
64,00033%
66,00010%
58,00099%
60,00097%
62,000100%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
BTC$64.36K → $62.86K-2.3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
- Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.