PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityDaughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams 100%+0.8ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$883.1
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 1:39 AMJul 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
The Wow! Signal - Muse0%
Future - The Real Me0%
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo0%
CONFESSIONS II - Madonna0%
Dandelion - Ella Langley0%
Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams100%
Album B50%
Album C50%
Album D0%
Album E50%
Album F50%
Album G50%
Other50%
I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen0%
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $883.1 | $1.5K | 8 hours ago | |
 Kalshi66% match · auto | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $3.5K | 2 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Aug 1, 2026?
Closed
86.8%
3.5%
1.8%
+21 more outcomes
14 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$4.2K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
- Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
- This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 1, 2026”.
- The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart.
- If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$883Jul 217d of dataJul 27
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Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday).
- Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
- This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 1, 2026”.
- The named albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart.
- If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.