PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: May 5, 2026, 12:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30K
Liquidity
$207.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-10.4 pts
Market data
Updated 119 days ago
StaleMar 24, 26, 5:04 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify.
- Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
- Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
- This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
