Current community forecast
No 52.7%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 10, 23, 12:58 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:29 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiBefore 2027, will LLMs be able to play videogames in real time?
Manifold MarketsWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
For example, during the video call, I tell my AI or google meet or facetime or whatever to make me look 19 today and it does so seamlessly as in the person on the other side cannot "obviously" tell my real age.
- Or if I want to look 46 today for something I want to look older for, and I ask the AI to do it and it does so pretty quickly just before the video call, and the other person can't tell from my face if i'm 23 or 46, then yeah it counts.
- Resolves YES if its possible to do this even today.
- Must be reliable, must work in real time video calls, and must be good quality.
- Must not be generic transitions, but suitable to each unique face.
- Read infinite Jest to explore more.