Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
TechOne-Off2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 58.8%
No 58.8%Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:23 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Waymo expand it's LA service area by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will be the 2026 lesswrong bay area winter secular solstice?
Manifold Markets“Every Bay Area House Party” house party in London 2 Prop Bets (add answers!)
Manifold MarketsBay Area Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030
KalshiWill the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?
KalshiRules
This market predicts whether Waymo will extend its ride-hailing service to include any part of Marin County.
- Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if Waymo officially announces or launches service in any part of Marin County before the end date.
- Market resolves NO if no such expansion occurs by the end date.
- Update 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:
- Partial Coverage: Full coverage of Marin County is not required; availability in any part of the county is sufficient.
- (Identical market to: source market)
