Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt?
One-OffCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate6moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.2%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 6, 26, 6:31 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if Wacker Chemie AG's total polysilicon production volume for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 60 kt, as reported in their Annual Report or Q4 earnings.
- YES if: Wacker annual polysilicon production >= 60 kt for 2026 NO if: Wacker annual polysilicon production < 60 kt for 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Wacker Chemie AG Annual Report — Polysilicon segment (wacker.com/en/investor-relations)
- Wacker Chemie Q4 / full-year earnings press release
- Wacker Chemie Half-Year Report
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt? resolve?
- Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Wacker Chemie AG's total polysilicon production volume for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 60 kt, as reported in their Annual Report or Q4 earnings.