Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 10, 26, 12:33 AM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Vio and Celeste remain legally married continuously until January 1, 2036, 00:00 UTC.
- This market resolves to NO if, prior to January 1, 2036, their marriage is legally dissolved (via finalized divorce or annulment), or if credible official documentation or public confirmation from the individuals confirms they are no longer married.
- If either individual passes away while the couple is still legally married, the market resolves to YES (as the marriage was not dissolved by divorce).
- If the couple is not legally married at the time of resolution, or if their legal marital status cannot be verified through direct public statement, public legal records, or direct creator confirmation, the market will resolve according to direct evidence provided by the couple or creator discretion.
- Traders should note that the market creator may edit the criteria to link specific social profiles, legal names, or verification methods.