Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 62.1%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 15, 24, 9:48 PM UTCApr 9, 34, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
A VR gaming PC, able to satisfyingly run 60% of the current most popular competitive online multiplayer games (as of release), that's intended to be worn, EG, like (or inside of) a backpack, or a toolbelt, at the waist, or where (regretably, as original resolution criteria really failed to rule this out, we must also allow for) the headset itself is competent enough.
- Update 2025-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The requirement that the device "run 60% of the current most popular competitive online multiplayer games" is interpreted as requiring it to run the latest competitive multiplayer games at the time of release (not older/legacy games).
- Update 2025-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve immediately upon announcement of hardware.
- Resolution depends on:
- Practical performance of games in actual use
- Whether games' anti-cheat systems support Linux on the hardware
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC? resolve?
- Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC? is scheduled to resolve on April 9, 2034.
- How is Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A VR gaming PC, able to satisfyingly run 60% of the current most popular competitive online multiplayer games (as of release), that's intended to be worn, EG, like (or inside of) a backpack, or a toolbelt, at the waist, or where (regretably, as original resolution criteria really failed to rule this out, we must also allow for) the headset itself is competent enough.