Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 72% in the year ending December 2029?
CommoditiesOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55.3%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 7, 26, 11:40 PM UTCMar 31, 30, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if US rhenium net import reliance exceeds 72% in the year ending December 2029.
- What is being measured: USGS estimate of US rhenium net import reliance (%) for the calendar year ending December 2029 (published in USGS MCS ~February, settled March 31).
- YES if: US rhenium net import reliance >= 72% for the year NO if: US rhenium net import reliance < 72% for the year Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — rhenium section (usgs.gov/centers/national-minerals-information-center)
- USGS Minerals Yearbook — rhenium chapter
- Calculated from US Census Bureau BIS data (HS 8112.41, HS 2841.90) + USGS production
