Will U.S. regular gasoline fall below $3.75/gal in any EIA weekly report before October 1, 2026?
CommoditiesWeeklyWeather22dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 26, 9:18 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026?
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ForecastExRules
Resolves YES if the U.S. Energy Information Administration's weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update reports a U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Price (series EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG) BELOW $3.750 per gallon for any weekly period dated on or before 2026-09-28.
- Resolution source: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/ (equivalently the same series on FRED as GASREGW).
- The reports in scope are the weeks dated 2026-08-17, 08-24, 08-31, 09-07, 09-14, 09-21 and 09-28.
- A single weekly print strictly below $3.750 is sufficient; the price does not have to stay there.
- Resolves NO if all seven of those weekly prints are $3.750 or higher.
- Uses the U.S. average for REGULAR grade, all formulations, as first published.
Open markets
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+27 more outcomes
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+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $121K
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- $87.8K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will U.S. regular gasoline fall below $3.75/gal in any EIA weekly report before October 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will U.S. regular gasoline fall below $3.75/gal in any EIA weekly report before October 1, 2026? resolve?
- Will U.S. regular gasoline fall below $3.75/gal in any EIA weekly report before October 1, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will U.S. regular gasoline fall below $3.75/gal in any EIA weekly report before October 1, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the U.S. Energy Information Administration's weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update reports a U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Price (series EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG) BELOW $3.750 per gallon for any weekly period dated on or before 2026-09-28.