Will U.S. regular gasoline fall below $3.75/gal in any EIA weekly report before October 1, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (98.5%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 12:08 AM
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Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the EIA weekly U.S. average regular gasoline price fall below $3.75/gallon before November 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if the U.S. Energy Information Administration's weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update reports a U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Price (series EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG) BELOW $3.750 per gallon for any weekly period dated on or before 2026-09-28.
- Resolution source: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/ (equivalently the same series on FRED as GASREGW).
- The reports in scope are the weeks dated 2026-08-17, 08-24, 08-31, 09-07, 09-14, 09-21 and 09-28.
- A single weekly print strictly below $3.750 is sufficient; the price does not have to stay there.
- Resolves NO if all seven of those weekly prints are $3.750 or higher.
- Uses the U.S. average for REGULAR grade, all formulations, as first published.
