What are the current odds for Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 66.9% as of October 26, 2026.

Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 66.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Apr 20, 23, 12:21 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 8:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will there be protests involving groups of at least 1000 participants calling for granting some kind of rights to any kind of existing AI system.

The protest has to occur before 2030.
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
Clarification: only majority serious/non-ironic protests count.
At least 1000 protestors must seriously/non-ironically participate.
I will decide based on reports of the news media whether participants are ironic or serious (eg if majority of media call it serious then it is "majority serious")