What are the current odds for Will there be a space elevator by 2050??

Manifold Markets prices No at 80.7% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will there be a space elevator by 2050? resolve?

Will there be a space elevator by 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 80.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 36 minutes ago

Oct 25, 22, 5:17 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 6:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves YES if there is any satallite in stationary orbit (or higher) around a planet or moon that is connected to that body by a tether.

It does not need to be capable of actually transporting anything into space, nor does it need to be on Earth.