What are the current odds for Will the USA and China tie in the current Moon Race??

Manifold Markets prices No at 67% as of October 31, 2026.

Will the USA and China tie in the current Moon Race?

ChinaOne-Off3y

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Current community forecast

No 67%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 24 minutes ago

Jun 30, 24, 3:01 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Currently the USA and China are racing to put a person on the Moon.

Obviously, the USA has done it before, but this is a new race so those landings don't count.
The question is whether China and the USA will each succeed in putting a person on the Moon in the same year.
China gets there in 2029, then the USA also gets there in 2029.