Will the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026?
QuarterlyCommodities1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 90.6%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 10:25 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 4:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the AAA "Today's National Average" price for diesel shown at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ is $6.500 or higher on any daily reading dated on or before October 31, 2026 (US Eastern time).
- Otherwise NO.
- Oracle: AAA's daily national average diesel price at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ (the "Diesel" figure on the Today's AAA National Average panel).
- AAA's own published daily figure is the sole source; no other index (GasBuddy, EIA weekly, OPIS) is used.
- If AAA stops publishing a daily national diesel average before Oct 31, the market resolves N/A. Rounding: the figure is published to four decimals. $6.5000 counts. $6.4999 does not.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Will the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026? resolve?
- Will the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 5, 2026.
- How is Will the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the AAA "Today's National Average" price for diesel shown at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ is $6.500 or higher on any daily reading dated on or before October 31, 2026 (US Eastern time).