Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 26, 2:52 PM UTCDec 14, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Taylor Swift pregnant by which date?
PolymarketTaylor Swift pregnant by the end of 2026?
FutuurTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiWill Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
KalshiTaylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
KalshiWill Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or their official representatives (such as publicist Tree Paine) publicly announce that Taylor Swift is pregnant or has given birth.
- To qualify, the announcement must be made through one of the following official channels:
- Verified personal social media accounts belonging to Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce.
- An official public statement, press release, or interview confirmed by their representatives and reported by credible media outlets (e.g., People, The Associated Press, Billboard).
- A direct, public announcement made by Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce during a live event, concert, podcast, or broadcast.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? resolve?
- Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? is scheduled to resolve on December 14, 2026.
- How is Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria