Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.8%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 4, 26, 2:52 PM UTCDec 14, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or their official representatives (such as publicist Tree Paine) publicly announce that Taylor Swift is pregnant or has given birth.
- To qualify, the announcement must be made through one of the following official channels:
- Verified personal social media accounts belonging to Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce.
- An official public statement, press release, or interview confirmed by their representatives and reported by credible media outlets (e.g., People, The Associated Press, Billboard).
- A direct, public announcement made by Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce during a live event, concert, podcast, or broadcast.