Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 8, 2026, 7:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 61.1%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleFeb 20, 26, 11:48 PMJan 20, 29, 11:47 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes61%
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