Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 t?
CommoditiesOne-OffLatin America3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70.6%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 9:14 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Serra Verde trailing 6-month MREC production at Pela Ema exceeds 3000 tonnes on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Total Mixed Rare Earth Concentrate (MREC) produced at Serra Verde's Pela Ema site (Cavalcante/Minaçu, Goiás, Brazil), in metric tonnes, for the 6-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: October (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: April – September (current year) total
- Unit conversion: If Serra Verde reports in TREO tonnes, apply the Pela Ema TREO grade (~35% TREO in MREC) to convert: MREC tonnes = TREO tonnes / 0.35.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $478.9K
- 24h Vol
- $306.2K
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- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
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- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $147.5K
- 24h Vol
- $147.5K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86089%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.1K
- 24h Vol
- $131.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.6K
- 24h Vol
- $128.4K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.8K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 t??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 t? resolve?
- Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 t? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 3000 t? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if Serra Verde trailing 6-month MREC production at Pela Ema exceeds 3000 tonnes on December 31, 2026.