Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 86.2%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 13, 24, 6:15 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
PolymarketRules
SBF trials are ongoing and it seems like FTX will be able to make creditors whole.
- Based on the public's perception potentially improving, will SBF be in jail in 5 years
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,750 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $80,900 or above99%
- $80,800 or above99%
- $80,700 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↓ 75,000+52.5pt100%
+30 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above-2.0pt97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $589.9K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
- ↑ 80,000+88.5pt100%
- ↓ 76,000+51.5pt100%
- ↓ 78,000100%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,800 or above99%
- $2,560 or above99%
- $2,000 or above98%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $296.1K
- 24h Vol
- $296.1K
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 21?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 20?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- BTC price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 86% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029 resolve?
- Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.
- How is Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: SBF trials are ongoing and it seems like FTX will be able to make creditors whole.