Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 22, 2026, 3:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 83.3%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 days ago
StaleDec 23, 22, 5:09 PMJan 1, 34, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes17%
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.