Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd?
One-OffEntertainment3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.4%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 28, 26, 11:48 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Whoda thunk it! PHM still taking the top spot even after a couple months with a whopping 4.31 average user score.
- Anime OVAs and live music tour documentaries do not count, which are currently ahead of PHM
- To filter out fanmade releases etc I'm going to use the arbitrary cutoff of 1000 fans minimum https://letterboxd.com/films/year/2026/by/rating/
- [link preview]
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
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- $2.1M
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- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd? resolve?
- Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Whoda thunk it! PHM still taking the top spot even after a couple months with a whopping 4.31 average user score.