Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?
CryptoOne-OffInflationBusiness & Corporate12yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.1%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 31, 23, 12:23 AM UTCJan 1, 39, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
"A billionaire" is defined by having a net worth > 1 Billion USD, in July 30th, 2023 inflation adjusted dollars.
- This question resolves to yes if any of the 32 members of the July session become a billionaire before they turn 31 years old.
- The duration of this net worth can be whatever, but all valuations need to be credible.
- For example, if a Fellow mints 500M crypto tokens and sells 10 of them at 2$ each, this doesn't count.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $81,000 or above+7.0pt99%
- $79,000 or above+1.0pt99%
- $79,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.5M
- 24h Vol
- $966.3K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.8M
- 24h Vol
- $837.6K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 25?
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.2pt100%
- 74,000+0.4pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in September?
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $260K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27?
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $771.5K
- 24h Vol
- $246.6K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
+46 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2M
- 24h Vol
- $239.6K
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 25?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit September 21-27?
- ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 26?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Bitcoin price on September 25?
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78.1% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30? resolve?
- Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2039.
- How is Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "A billionaire" is defined by having a net worth > 1 Billion USD, in July 30th, 2023 inflation adjusted dollars.