Current community forecast
No 58.1%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 26, 24, 6:15 AM UTCJan 2, 40, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will cheap, portable, general purpose non-invasive brain-computer interfaces be commercially available by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2040, will at least 100,000 people in the United States have implanted brain-computer interfaces (BCIs).
Manifold MarketsWill we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsWill we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRules
Resolves Yes if at least 20% of the global population wears a device that reads and interprets brain waves for at least one hour per day.
- Resolves No otherwise.
