What are the current odds for Will manifold make perps on the profit of any trader on manifold before 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of October 26, 2026.

Will manifold make perps on the profit of any trader on manifold before 2028?

One-OffExchange1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 84%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Sep 26, 26, 9:58 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

It only has to be on at least one persons profit and loss.

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2027, Manifold officially launches at least one perpetual market ("perp") where the underlying oracle or index tracked is the profit and loss (P&L), net profit, or total earnings of at least one specific Manifold trader.
To qualify, the market must be a perpetual style contract (featuring continuous trading, leverage, or funding rates) hosted officially on Manifold.
A standard binary or multi-choice prediction market resolving to a user's profit at a specific point in time does not count; it must be an active perpetual market.
If no such perpetual market is launched by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to NO.