Will Luffy defeat Imu in the official One Piece manga before December 31, 2026?
EntertainmentOne-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.6%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleSep 3, 26, 3:44 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the One Piece manga finish by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat is One Piece? (One Piece Manga)
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy find the One Piece in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, in an officially published chapter of the One Piece manga released on or before December 31, 2026, Monkey D. Luffy is depicted as defeating Nerona Imu.
- "Defeating" is defined as:
- Knocking Imu unconscious or rendering them physically unable to continue fighting.
- Killing Imu.
- Forcing Imu into definitive surrender or submission through physical combat.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Luffy defeat Imu in the official One Piece manga before December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Luffy defeat Imu in the official One Piece manga before December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will Luffy defeat Imu in the official One Piece manga before December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Luffy defeat Imu in the official One Piece manga before December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria