Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 79.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 7:43 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Jonas Vingegaard starts Stage 1 of the 2027 Tour de France.
- "Starting" is defined as crossing the start line of Stage 1 or being officially recorded on the stage results with a completed time, DNF (Did Not Finish), or other active classification.
- If he is officially listed as a DNS (Did Not Start) for Stage 1, or is omitted entirely from the final starting list, this market will resolve to NO.
- If the 2027 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed beyond the calendar year of 2027, or if Vingegaard announces his retirement from professional cycling before the event begins, this market will resolve to NO.
Open markets
Sports
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+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
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- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
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+45 more outcomes
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- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? resolve?
- Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027.
- How is Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria