Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.6%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 7:43 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Jonas Vingegaard starts Stage 1 of the 2027 Tour de France.
- "Starting" is defined as crossing the start line of Stage 1 or being officially recorded on the stage results with a completed time, DNF (Did Not Finish), or other active classification.
- If he is officially listed as a DNS (Did Not Start) for Stage 1, or is omitted entirely from the final starting list, this market will resolve to NO.
- If the 2027 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed beyond the calendar year of 2027, or if Vingegaard announces his retirement from professional cycling before the event begins, this market will resolve to NO.
