Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 89.7%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 20, 26, 4:43 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves Yes if Jonas Vingegaard starts a race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028-01-01.
- The race must be a UCI road race, for example a "post-Tour crit" would not count, even if it is a UCI event.
- He has to be riding for that team, not for a national team or etc. He has to take the start, DNS doesn't count.
- Resolves No promptly when any of the following happen:
- Announces retirement before riding any races and also reaches the retirement date without starting a race, or announces that he would not start any race
- Rides a race for another team before riding for Team Visma | Lease a Bike