What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Sports2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2028 41.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
2028 41.8%Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 24, 4:33 PM UTCAug 1, 29, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiVidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
KalshiRules
Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard are two of the most dominant GC riders in recent cycling history.
- They have placed first and second in the last four (2021-24) consecutive Tours de France.
- Resolves YES to the first year in which the Tour de France is held and a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the general classification.
- If no other rider wins the Tour by 2029, then the market will resolve YES to the named outcome.
