Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 68.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 12:28 AM UTCJul 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsTour de France 2027 Winner
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Tadej Pogacar wins the general classification at the end of the 2027 Tour de France.
- Resolves NO otherwise, including if he does not start the Tour or does not finish.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France? resolve?
- Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France? is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2027.
- How is Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Tadej Pogacar wins the general classification at the end of the 2027 Tour de France.