Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (47.7%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 4:20 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
50%
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes52.3%
No47.7%
Lost
Won
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Zack Nelson on the official JerryRigEverything YouTube channel is able to structurally snap, break, or fold the iPhone Duo backward (against its natural hinge direction) during his manual bend test.
- To qualify for a YES resolution:
- The titanium frame or hinge must break, crack catastrophically, or permanently deform/bend backward under his bare hands so that it cannot return to its original form factor.
- If the phone survives the bend test with its structural integrity and frame alignment intact—even if the glass cracks, the screen fails, or it suffers cosmetic damage—this market will resolve to NO.
- If no durability/bend test video for the iPhone Duo is uploaded to the JerryRigEverything YouTube channel by April 30, 2027, this market will resolve to N/A.