Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 14, 2026, 10:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 5.8%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 days ago
StaleJun 27, 25, 1:42 AMDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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