Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
Forecasters
0
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 12, 26, 2:04 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
will alok singh have a birthday party in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Jose Luis Ricon, Will DePue, Anson Yu, Alexey Guzey,Claire Wang, & Isaak Freeman all DnD campaign together by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a 100+page book called "Isaak Freeman and the Methods of Rationality" be written by EOY2045?
Manifold MarketsWill a 100+page book called "Isaak Freeman and the Goblet of Fire" be written by EOY2045?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $224.9K
- 24h Vol
- $107.3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.2K
- 24h Vol
- $76.7K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.5pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $319.5K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.7%
- Dee Valladares+10.0pt14.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.0pt73.3%
- Yes+8.0pt26.7%
- Total Vol
- $401.9K
- 24h Vol
- $55.7K
- Next James Bond actor?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Gutierrez vs Gallego
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Weightman vs Wright
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 4?
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Isaak Freeman have a BIRTHDAY PARTY IN 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Isaak Freeman have a BIRTHDAY PARTY IN 2026 resolve?
- Will Isaak Freeman have a BIRTHDAY PARTY IN 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.