Will I see at least one moose and/or at least one bear in the wild while in Alaska?
One-OffSociety & CultureManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Both a bear and a moose are seen (49.2%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 10:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastBoth a bear and a moose are seen 49.2%+50.8ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 days ago
StaleMay 25, 26, 10:10 PMJul 27, 26, 10:37 PM
Probability Timeline
Both a bear and a moose are seen44.1%
Only a bear is seen9.3%
Only a moose is seen32.6%
Neither animal is seen8.8%
49.2%
32.6%
9.3%
8.8%
Rules
I have a trip to Alaska planned in late July with my parents.
- We will be in/around Anchorage, Denali National Park, and Seward over the course of a week.
- This question's resolution is based on seeing either or both of these animals in the wild.
- If I see them at a zoo or wildlife sanctuary where the animals are in a contained area (even if said area is large), then it will not count.
- For full context, I will likely not be doing any hikes longer than 1-2 hours or with high difficulty as that would involve leaving my parents behind.
- Feel free to ask any questions and I will provide what I can.
