KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 1 41%-6.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$380.3
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 1, 26, 2:00 PMSep 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is the named outcome in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York Times
- "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace.
- This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section.
- Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
Open markets
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
- 65-89+10.5pt44.5%
- 40-64+2.0pt30.7%
- 90-114+1.1pt18.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $290.2K
- 24h Vol
- $188.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
- 200-21913.6%
- 180-19912.6%
- 220-23912.6%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $299.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
- 65-89+15.0pt43.3%
- 40-64-3.5pt28.9%
- 90-114+2.5pt18.3%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIMrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- No99%
- Yes-7.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $24.2K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
POLYMARKETTed Cruz # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 140-159+9.0pt69.2%
- 160-179+20.0pt28.2%
- 180-199+1.9pt2.6%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNYC Mayor # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 20-39+3.3pt99%
- 40-59-3.4pt1%
- <20-0.4pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
- Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Major news story in Aug 2026??
- Kalshi prices At least 1 at 41% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Major news story in Aug 2026? resolve?
- Major news story in Aug 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
- How is Major news story in Aug 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is the named outcome in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.