Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.1%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 30, 25, 9:48 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
I currently am undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors since approx 2019.
- (3 wins to 0 losses)
- Question resolves yes if I don't loss at any point an IRL Rock Paper Scissors match Until 2030
- I am not required to participate in any more matches than what I currently have and don't intend to but if their comes a situation where I judge that it would be a worthwhile to compete (at the cost of a chance of losing an interesing fact about myself) I will choose to compete.
- Update 2026-07-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Games with changed labels or themes count as Rock Paper Scissors matches if they exactly mirror the gameplay (choosing one of three items where each beats one and loses to one, with no other rules or mechanics).
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? resolve?
- Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will I remain undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors till 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I currently am undefeated in Rock Paper Scissors since approx 2019.