Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.7%
Forecasters
94
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 5:25 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
I have set a strategic goal to start a family before Singularity happens, with a provisional deadline by the end of 2027.
- The question resolves YES if, by the end of 2027, I am married, or I have proposed and the woman I proposed to said yes.
- Relevant context: I was in 4 long-term relationships in my life (2-4 years each, and one 6 months).
- Mostly, it took me 1-2 months to find a new relationship after the previous one broke.
- The largest gap was 9 months.
- But! Now I am looking explicitly for a wife, not just a relationship.
