Current community forecast
No 86%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 25, 5:14 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.
- I have not yet used Waymo, but I plan to before the end of 2025 (https://manifold.markets/MingweiSamuel/will-i-be-able-to-hail-a-driverless-2lIA6zLStc).
- Resolves yes if I can book a ride from Oakland to SF (or reverse) and successfully do so.
- The ride must not have a safety driver.
- (If I book a trip but do have a safety driver, I will try at least one more time to get a ride without one) (If I am not physically able to attempt to book a ride to check for myself, I will resolve N/A)