Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.1%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 24, 26, 6:30 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online before 2027?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-1.0pt50%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5M
- 24h Vol
- $104.5K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+16.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.4K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.8M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $356.5K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+33.0pt76%
- 70-80M-34.0pt23%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will GTA VI sell more than 50 million copies by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will GTA VI sell more than 50 million copies by the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will GTA VI sell more than 50 million copies by the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.