Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 55.7%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleApr 16, 24, 2:23 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes44%
Volume trend
$14Jul 117d of dataJul 27
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